​This MD Admissions Chance Estimator was created to give premed students a realistic, data-informed projection of their chances of getting into a U.S. allopathic (MD) medical school.

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Why It Matters

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Applying to med school is incredibly competitive—and complex. While GPA and MCAT are critical, they’re only part of the picture. This tool blends academic data with key holistic factors (clinical experience, research, volunteering, essays, and more) to model how admissions committees evaluate applicants.

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What Makes It Unique

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• Based on real AAMC and MSAR data: The calculator uses up-to-date stats on average GPA, MCAT, and acceptance rates for every accredited U.S. MD program.

• Holistic scoring model: We incorporate experiences, background, and subjective components like essays and recommendation letters—just like real admissions reviewers do.

• School-specific estimates: Get tailored estimates for any U.S. MD school and see which programs are a strong academic match for you.

• Designed for strategy: Use this tool to help build a smart school list and identify ways to strengthen your application.

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Disclaimer

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This tool is a guide—not a guarantee. Admissions decisions are made by humans, with a wide range of qualitative factors. We encourage you to use this estimator as a starting point for understanding your competitiveness, and to consult with advisors or admissions professionals for personalized insight.